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Nippon Steel Forecasts 14% Profit Decline as U.S. Market Falters

Nippon Steel Forecasts 14% Profit Decline as U.S. Market Falters

Post by : Bianca Haleem

Japan's biggest steelmaker, Nippon Steel, said it expects a 14% reduction in underlying profit for the year to March 2026, forecasting 680 billion yen versus 793.7 billion yen a year earlier as U.S. market weakness and rising operating costs weigh on results.

The company excluded the performance of U.S. Steel — acquired in June for roughly $15 billion — from its projections, citing unexpectedly soft conditions in the United States, higher equipment-related expenses and increased regional uncertainty.

U.S. Steel accounts for almost 40% of Nippon Steel's global crude steel capacity, which stands at about 66 million tonnes. Nippon Steel says the acquisition is central to its longer-term ambition of lifting worldwide output toward 100 million tonnes a year.

Earlier this week U.S. Steel outlined a $14 billion multi-year investment programme in partnership with Nippon Steel, with around $11 billion planned through 2028. The Japanese group expects those investments to strengthen its U.S. operations over time, despite short-term profit pressure.

For the six months ended September, Nippon Steel posted a loss of 113.4 billion yen, reversing a 243.4 billion yen profit from the same period last year. It also raised its full-year net loss forecast to 60 billion yen—about 50% higher than an earlier estimate—after recording a 21 billion yen loss linked to its exit from Brazilian peer Usiminas.

The firm is refocusing on priority growth markets — the United States, India and Thailand — and moving to divest non-core assets to reduce exposure. The sale of its minority stake in Usiminas to partner Ternium is part of that strategic repositioning.

While near-term figures are strained, Nippon Steel reaffirmed its commitment to global expansion and decarbonisation, saying sustained investment in the U.S. should eventually help restore profitability and cement its global leadership.

Nov. 5, 2025 4:17 p.m. 2695
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