Post by : Saif
Al-Najjar
On Wednesday, gold prices showed minimal movement as investors anticipated a likely interest rate reduction from the U.S. Federal Reserve, along with insights from Chair Jerome Powell regarding upcoming monetary policies. In stark contrast, silver experienced a significant surge, surpassing $60 an ounce for the first time ever.
Spot gold prices dipped by 0.2%, settling at $4,199.92 per ounce, whereas U.S. gold futures for February delivery also decreased by 0.2% to $4,228.10. Meanwhile, silver surged by 1.2%, reaching $61.37 an ounce after peaking at a record $61.61 earlier in the session.
Experts attribute silver's remarkable increase to a combination of strong industrial demand, limited physical supplies, and its recent classification as a critical mineral by the United States. According to Carsten Menke, an analyst at Julius Baer, "Silver’s breach of the $60 per ounce milestone has drawn in more short-term investors and trend followers into the market," highlighting the tightening situation within the silver sector.
This year, silver has soared by 113%, indicating heightened investor enthusiasm, while gold has maintained relative stability. Menke noted that the demand for gold among investors, as reflected in holdings in physically-backed funds, has lagged behind silver, which could clarify the slower price appreciation for gold.
The largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF), the SPDR Gold Trust in New York, recorded a slight 0.1% decrease in holdings on Tuesday. In contrast, the iShares Silver Trust saw a gain of 0.53%, underscoring persistent investor interest in silver.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is currently convening for a two-day meeting, with a rate cut decision anticipated at 1900 GMT, followed by Powell’s remarks at 1930 GMT. Market predictions suggest an 88% probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate drop, which typically makes non-yielding investments like gold more appealing.
Economic advisor to the White House, Kevin Hassett, who is viewed as a potential successor to Powell at the Fed, remarked that there is "ample scope" for further rate cuts, although he cautioned that increasing inflation might complicate this strategy.
RBC Capital Markets has revised its long-term outlook for gold, forecasting an average price of $4,600 per ounce in 2026 and $5,100 in 2027. Analysts attribute these elevated forecasts to geopolitical uncertainties, a soften U.S. monetary policy, and ongoing budget deficits.
As the Federal Reserve's decision looms, market participants will closely analyze both the rate adjustment and Powell’s commentary, as both could profoundly influence the valuation of gold, silver, and other precious metals.
Gold remains firm for the moment while silver carries on its remarkable ascent, mirroring market anticipations and an increasing appetite for both safe-haven and industrial assets.
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